Eli McKown-Dawson (Silver Bulletin) writes (introduced by Nate Silver):
California is notoriously slow at counting its ballots. In 2024, it took California until November 8 (three days after Election Day) to get just 70 percent of its ballots counted. Across all 50 states, the average share of the vote counted by that date was more than 95 percent, putting California squarely in last place. Rest assured, The Golden State did eventually hit that 95 percent mark … a full 10 days later….
Florida now manages to count 99 percent of its ballots within a few hours of polls closing, in part because election officials can process ballots before the polls close. And they are able to accomplish this feat of incredible speed with a sizable proportion of mail votes — about 27 percent in 2024…. Colombia held a presidential election on Sunday, and 99.98 percent of the result was in on Monday morning. Japan also counts most of its votes overnight. And in the UK (not exactly a poster child for state capacity), you can generally expect to have calls for all 650 parliamentary seats the morning after the election….
Nor is the problem inherent in California’s choice to promote mail voting:
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Meet Doris, she lives in California and is registered as a 126 year old who has voted in 51 elections and has NO IDEA. California’s voting system is so corrupt that by simply knocking on the door of the “126 year old” proves election fraud.
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Having done a study of the 2020 election in WI, I know proving fraud directly is very difficult. So you look for anomalies. The CA break for the third place candidate might very well be one. I think this election will destroy any possibility of a national popular vote for President. I don’t know if there is fraud in CA. But I don’t trust it enough to allow it to determine who will be President.