Of course, predictions of global apocalypse are as ancient as humanity. Given the historical track record—no global apocalypse yet!—those predicting apocalypse have traditionally had a rough time being taken seriously. Still, there is a big difference between predicting the arrival of apocalypse ex nihilo vs. a reasoned argument that it necessarily emerges from specific human decisions and habits.
The Limits of Growth
This book, published in 1972, was an early effort to quantitatively model the effects of technological change. I read it some years ago. As the title implies, The Limits of Growth considered how five key global factorswould affect human development:
