Civics: Political meddling at the Census Bureau damages the entire US statistical system
This summer marks the worst period for US statistical integrity since President Donald Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics last August. Two different and seemingly uncoordinated events at the Census Bureau raised alarms about inappropriate political encroachment on the scientific and technical authority of the agency.
I take some comfort that journalists and independent experts spoke up quickly and loudly. I still trust the economic indicators we get from the expert staff at Census and other US government statistical agencies, like inflation data and the jobs report. But I am scrutinizing any technical changes more closely and am quicker to look for political influence.
During this administration, the statistical system has suffered attrition, leadership vacancies, cuts, delays, and political interventions in methods and content. Most of these developments are the result of collateral damage rather than intentional harm. But the examples of deliberate political intervention have grown, including these latest events at Census.
These two events—the publication of a brief on the official Census platform about noncitizen voting that fell far short of Census standards and a political decision about privacy-protection methods—are new harms. The main impact is likely to be on demographic data for voting and redistricting, and on local demographic and economic data. The headline-worthy macroeconomic data that policymakers, financial markets, and the media follow closely were spared this time around. But damage to any part of the statistical system reverberates throughout the system. These events demonstrate that the Census Bureau and other agencies are increasingly vulnerable to political interference that would harm their credibility and the ability of businesses and policymakers to make the data-driven decisions that affect Americans’ daily lives.
