According to the PES, which states had undercounts?
- Arkansas (-5.04),
- Florida (-3.48),
- Illinois (-1.97),
- Mississippi (-4.11),
- Tennessee (-4.78), and
- Texas (-1.92).
And overcounts?
- Delaware (+5.45),
- Hawaii (+6.79),
- Massachusetts (+2.24),
- Minnesota (+3.84),
- New York (+3.44),
- Ohio (+1.49),
- Rhode Island (+5.05), and
- Utah (+2.59)
Why was there an undercount or overcount in my state?
While the 2020 Post-Enumeration Survey can estimate undercounts and overcounts in the census, PES data cannot answer why a particular state may have experienced one.
In a shocking report that has not received the attention it deserves, the U.S. Census Bureau recently admitted that its 2020 Census count of the American population was incorrect in at least 14 states.1 And those mistakes were costly to certain states in terms of congressional representation, number of electors, and money those states are likely to receive from the federal government during the next decade. To put the scope of these mistakes into perspective, contrast the errors in the Census Bureau’s latest recount (the 2020 Post-Enumeration Survey, or PES) with the recount from a decade ago (the 2010 Post-Enumeration Survey)—in which there was a net overcount of a mere 0.01 percent (36,000 people), a statistically insignificant error.2
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Implications of over and under counts census results: grok // perplexity